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Metrics & Indicators

VIX (Volatility Index)

The CBOE Volatility Index measuring expected 30-day SPX volatility — the market's "fear gauge" and key input to session classification.

The VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) represents the market's expectation of 30-day annualized volatility for the S&P 500. It's derived from SPX option prices and is widely known as the market's "fear gauge."

VIX regimes and session classification:

  • VIX < 15: Low volatility — favors Balanced Day and Volatility Compression sessions
  • VIX 15-20: Normal volatility — all session types possible
  • VIX 20-25: Elevated — increased probability of Trend Day and Short Covering Rally
  • VIX 25-35: High — Expansion Day probability rises sharply
  • VIX > 35: Crisis — extreme moves expected, all structures need maximum width

SPXXL uses VIX as a primary input for session classification, but with nuance:

  • VIX level (absolute) sets the baseline regime
  • VIX change (direction) signals momentum in fear/complacency
  • VIX term structure (VIX vs. VIX futures) indicates whether fear is immediate or deferred
  • VIX vs. realized vol spread shows whether options are overpriced (opportunity to sell) or underpriced (danger)

For 0DTE traders, VIX directly impacts:

  • Premium levels — higher VIX = more expensive options = wider spreads needed
  • Range expectations — higher VIX = wider expected daily range
  • Theta decay rate — higher VIX options decay faster in absolute terms
  • Structure selection — high VIX sessions need wider wings for safety

Related Terms

See VIX (Volatility Index) in action

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