Wednesday, April 16, 2025
Trend Day Bearish
88%confidence
Correct
Classification Scores
Balanced Day3.9%
Trend Day66.8%
Expansion Day6.7%
Short Covering Rally0.0%
Liquidity Sweep23.0%
Volatility Compression0.0%
Structure & Risk
Recommended Structure
BEST: DEBIT SPREADS / DIRECTIONAL VERTICALS
Risk Level
Moderate
Volatility State
Vol Normal
VIX
32.64
ATM IV
—
Liquidity Regime
LOW
Dealer hedging withdrawing — negative GEX risk elevated
Structure Worked
Yes
Market Data
Open
5335.75
High
5367.24
Low
5220.79
Close
5275.70
VWAP
5299.87
Net Move
-1.13
Daily Range
146.5
pts
True Range
175.8
pts
ADR
194.7
ATR
222.4
Rel Volume
0.75
x avg
Expansion Ratio
0.75
Initial Balance Analysis
IB High
—
IB Low
—
IB Range
—
pts
IB Broken
No
Break Direction
—
IB Outcome
No IB data available
Outcome Assessment
GRADE
Correct
Accurate
Yes
Prediction Δ
0.68
Liquidity Score
32.2
Mean Reversion
35.5
Outcome Notes
Session: Trend Day — Confirmed ✓ | Structure: Would have profited ✓ | No IB data available | Actual move: -1.13% | Expansion: 0.75x ADR