Tuesday, October 14, 2025
Expansion Day
46%confidence
Correct
Classification Scores
Balanced Day
4.4%
Trend Day
39.0%
Expansion Day
62.9%
Short Covering Rally
25.4%
Liquidity Sweep
24.3%
Vol Compression
0.0%
Structure & Risk
Recommended Structure
BEST: MOMENTUM TRADES / DIRECTIONAL SPREADS
Risk Level
Extreme Volatility
Volatility State
Expanding
VIX
20.81
ATM IV
—
Liquidity Regime
NORMAL
Standard dealer hedging dynamics — balanced order book
Structure Worked
Yes
Market Data
Open
6602.49
High
6680.70
Low
6555.07
Close
6644.31
VWAP
6620.64
Net Move
+0.63
Daily Range
125.6
pts
True Range
125.6
pts
ADR
57.6
ATR
64.3
Rel Volume
1.01
x avg
Expansion Ratio
2.18
Initial Balance Analysis
IB High
—
IB Low
—
IB Range
—
pts
IB Broken
No
Break Direction
—
IB Outcome
No IB data available
Outcome Assessment
GRADE
Correct
Accurate
Yes
Prediction Δ
0.03
Liquidity Score
12.1
Outcome Notes
Session: Expansion Day — Confirmed ✓ | Structure: Would have profited ✓ | No IB data available | Actual move: +0.63% | Expansion: 2.18x ADR