Monday, September 15, 2025

Short Covering Rally

35%confidence
Missed
Classification Scores
Balanced Day
48.0%
Trend Day
4.8%
Expansion Day
0.0%
Short Covering Rally
66.6%
Liquidity Sweep
0.0%
Vol Compression
30.9%
Structure & Risk
Recommended Structure
BEST: BULLISH CALL SPREADS
Risk Level
High Volatility
Volatility State
Compressed
VIX
15.69
ATM IV
Liquidity Regime
NORMAL
Standard dealer hedging dynamics — balanced order book
Structure Worked
No
Market Data
Open
6603.49
High
6619.62
Low
6602.07
Close
6615.28
VWAP
6610.11
Net Move
+0.18
Daily Range
17.6
pts
True Range
35.3
pts
ADR
42.3
ATR
47.6
Rel Volume
1.07
x avg
Expansion Ratio
0.41
Initial Balance Analysis
IB High
IB Low
IB Range
pts
IB Broken
No
Break Direction
IB Outcome
No IB data available
Outcome Assessment
GRADE
Missed
Accurate
No
Prediction Δ
-0.42
Liquidity Score
66.1
Outcome Notes
Session: Short Covering Rally — Did not materialize ✗ | Structure: Would not have profited ✗ | No IB data available | Actual move: +0.18% | Expansion: 0.41x ADR

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